Nyuma y’uko Perezida wa Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, Donald Trump, ageze ku masezerano na Irani agamije kugabanya ubushyamirane bwari bumaze amezi bututumba mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati, ubu ibitekerezo bya Washington birasa n’ibimaze kwimukira ku kindi kibazo kimaze imyaka myinshi gihangayikishije isi: gahunda ya kirimbuzi ya Koreya ya Ruguru.
Mu nama ya G7 yabereye mu Bufaransa, Perezida wa Koreya y’Epfo, Lee Jae-myung, yatangaje ko Trump yamubwiye ko “igihe kigeze cyo kwibanda ku kibazo cya Koreya ya Ruguru.”
Aya magambo yahise akurura amaso y’abasesenguzi, bibaza niba nyuma ya Irani, Trump ashobora kongera kugerageza ibiganiro byimbitse na Kim Jong Un.
Impamvu ikibazo cya Koreya ya Ruguru cyongeye kuba icy’ingenzi
Kuva ibiganiro bya Hanoi hagati ya Trump na Kim Jong-un bisenyutse mu 2019 nta masezerano agezweho, umubano hagati ya Washington na Pyongyang wakomeje kuba mubi.
Muri icyo gihe, Koreya ya Ruguru yakomeje guteza imbere intwaro za kirimbuzi n’ibisasu bishobora kugera kure.
Uyu munsi ikibazo kirakomeye kurushaho kuko Koreya ya Ruguru ifite ubushobozi bwa kirimbuzi burenze ubwo yari ifite mu 2018, ubufatanye bwayo n’Uburusiya bwarushijeho gukomera ndetse ibihano mpuzamahanga byatangiye gutakaza imbaraga kubera inkunga Pyongyang ibona ahandi.
Trump rero ashobora kubona ko ikibazo cya Koreya ya Ruguru ari cyo gisigaye mu bibazo bikomeye by’umutekano mpuzamahanga ashaka gusigaho umurage wa dipolomasi.
Trump yaba ahindura uburyo yakoresheje mbere?
Ikintu gishya kiri kuvugwa ni uko Trump ashobora kwemera uburyo bw’ibyiciro , aho kuba gusaba ko Koreya ya Ruguru ihita ireka gahunda yayo yose ya kirimbuzi icyarimwe.
Perezida Lee Jae-myung yavuze ko Trump agaragaza ubushake bwo kureba uko gahunda ya kirimbuzi yahagarikwa buhoro buhoro, aho gukomeza gusaba ko isenywa burundu mbere y’ibiganiro.
Ibi byaba impinduka zikomeye kuko imyaka myinshi Amerika yashimangiye ko intego nyamukuru ari “gukuraho burundu intwaro za kirimbuzi za Koreya ya Ruguru”.
Kim Jong-un ashobora kubyungukiramo?
Nubwo Trump ashobora kuba yifuza ibiganiro bishya, ikibazo gikomeye ni uko Kim Jong-un ubu afite ikizere kirenze icyo yari afite mu myaka yashize.
Koreya ya Ruguru ntikigendera gusa ku nkunga y’Ubushinwa. Ifite n’ubufatanye bwa gisirikare n’ubukungu n’Uburusiya, ibintu biha Pyongyang ubushobozi bwo kutemera igitutu cya Washington nk’uko byari bimeze mbere.
Kim ashobora kwemera ibiganiro gusa niba hari koroshywa ibihano; Amerika ikagabanya imyitozo ya gisirikare ikorana na Koreya y’Epfo; cyangwa se Washington ikemera mu buryo butaziguye ko Koreya ya Ruguru yamaze kuba igihugu gifite intwaro za kirimbuzi.
Isomo Trump yakuye ku masezerano ya Iran
Hari ababona ko amasezerano ya Irani ashobora guha Trump isomo rishya. Aho gukomeza gusaba ibisubizo bya burundu bitagerwaho vuba, ashobora guhitamo amasezerano y’igihe gito agamije kugabanya ibyago by’intambara no guhagarika iterambere ry’ibisasu bya kirimbuzi.
Ariko nanone hari impungenge ko Koreya ya Ruguru ishobora kurebera ku byabaye muri Irani ikavuga ko gutunga intwaro za kirimbuzi ari bwo buryo bwonyine bwo kwirinda igitutu cy’amahanga.
Perezida Lee wa Koreya y’Epfo ubwe yavuze ko intambara ya Irani ishobora gutuma Pyongyang irushaho kwizirika ku ntwaro za kirimbuzi.
Ese amahirwe yo gutsinda arahari?
Mu by’ukuri, amahirwe arahari ariko ntabwo ari menshi. Trump na Kim Jong-un bafite amateka yo kuganira imbonankubone, kandi Trump akomeje kugaragaza ubushake bwo kongera kugerageza.
Ariko isi ya 2026 itandukanye cyane n’iya 2018. Koreya ya Ruguru irakomeye kurushaho, Uburusiya burayishyigikiye cyane, naho Amerika na yo ihanganye n’ibibazo byinshi ku isi.
Niba amasezerano ya Irani ari yo afatwa nk’intambwe ya mbere ya Trump mu gushaka kugabanya amakimbirane akomeye ku isi, Koreya ya Ruguru ishobora kuba ikizamini gikomeye kurushaho.
Intsinzi yaba ari ugusubiza Kim Jong-un ku meza y’ibiganiro; gutsindwa byo byasiga ikibazo cya kirimbuzi cya Koreya ya Ruguru gikomeje kuba kimwe mu bihangayikishije isi kurusha ibindi mu myaka iri imbere.
